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Table 2 Multinomial model: simulation results for the true cluster model (B) and alternative hypothesis (1) using elliptical windows

From: Optimizing the maximum reported cluster size for the multinomial-based spatial scan statistic

  

Maximum reported cluster size (MRCS)

Default setting

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

8%

10%

12%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

Overall

SCIC1

Freqa

0

2

0

9

32

61

547

123

85

39

20

4

3

1

0

0

1

927

927

Senb

NA

0.200

NA

0.444

0.556

0.695

0.897

0.927

0.972

0.949

0.890

0.850

0.933

0.000

NA

NA

1.000

0.878

0.888

PPVc

NA

1.000

NA

1.000

0.927

0.939

0.965

0.773

0.655

0.519

0.356

0.237

0.254

0.000

NA

NA

0.088

0.869

0.803

Misd

NA

0.058

NA

0.040

0.035

0.027

0.011

0.026

0.043

0.071

0.133

0.210

0.208

0.406

NA

NA

0.754

0.026

0.044

SCIC2

Freq

0

2

0

13

32

66

521

115

86

39

24

8

10

2

4

2

3

927

927

Sen

NA

0.200

NA

0.538

0.594

0.694

0.899

0.920

0.972

0.959

0.892

0.900

0.860

0.500

0.800

1.000

0.933

0.878

0.888

PPV

NA

1.000

NA

0.981

0.947

0.933

0.967

0.770

0.649

0.513

0.339

0.233

0.195

0.081

0.126

0.132

0.105

0.850

0.803

Mis

NA

0.058

NA

0.035

0.032

0.027

0.010

0.027

0.044

0.074

0.142

0.223

0.278

0.391

0.420

0.478

0.594

0.034

0.044

Elbow

Freq

0

1

2

24

45

69

531

117

80

27

20

5

4

1

1

0

0

927

927

Sen

NA

0.200

0.800

0.692

0.667

0.707

0.898

0.916

0.968

0.956

0.850

0.920

0.850

0.000

0.600

NA

NA

0.874

0.888

PPV

NA

1.000

1.000

0.976

0.944

0.928

0.958

0.764

0.651

0.501

0.282

0.216

0.199

0.000

0.094

NA

NA

0.868

0.803

Mis

NA

0.058

0.014

0.024

0.027

0.027

0.958

0.028

0.044

0.079

0.174

0.249

0.272

0.406

0.449

NA

NA

0.027

0.044

MCS-P

Freq

0

0

3

25

49

60

486

129

77

56

27

5

5

3

2

0

0

927

927

Sen

NA

NA

0.333

0.576

0.624

0.677

0.893

0.929

0.977

0.971

0.933

0.880

1.000

0.667

1.000

NA

NA

0.872

0.888

PPV

NA

NA

0.333

0.939

0.861

0.916

0.973

0.787

0.679

0.555

0.411

0.285

0.271

0.145

0.192

NA

NA

0.856

0.803

Mis

NA

NA

0.068

0.035

0.034

0.029

0.010

0.023

0.036

0.059

0.104

0.168

0.197

0.309

0.304

NA

NA

0.026

0.044

MCHS-P

Freq

0

0

2

19

44

60

484

131

80

58

32

6

6

3

2

0

0

927

927

Sen

NA

NA

0.800

0.674

0.677

0.690

0.895

0.919

0.975

0.972

0.925

0.867

0.967

0.667

1.000

NA

NA

0.882

0.888

PPV

NA

NA

1.000

1.000

0.910

0.910

0.968

0.770

0.663

0.549

0.390

0.273

0.257

0.145

0.192

NA

NA

0.848

0.803

Mis

NA

NA

0.014

0.024

0.029

0.029

0.010

0.027

0.040

0.061

0.115

0.179

0.208

0.309

0.304

NA

NA

0.028

0.044

  1. aFreq: frequency
  2. bSen: sensitivity
  3. cPPV: positive predictive value
  4. dMis: misclassification
  5. Sensitivity, PPV, and misclassification rate at the most frequently selected optimal MRCS are shown in bold