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Table 4 Space-time power distribution P1(l, s, t | s*, t*) for the Cluster A (s* = 1) on Day 31 (t* = 1) with high risk (RR= 9. 91), where t is a temporal length of detected cluster. The mark "*" is the powers of accurate detection.

From: A flexibly shaped space-time scan statistic for disease outbreak detection and monitoring

(A) flexible (K = 20)

 

includes s assumed areas

 
 

0

1

 
 

29-

30-

31-

29-

30-

31-

 

length l of areas

t = 3

2

1

t = 3

2

1

total

1

0

0

0

0

6

*315

321

2

0

0

0

0

1

50

51

3

0

0

0

1

2

34

37

4

0

0

0

1

6

34

41

5

0

0

0

2

5

48

55

6

1

0

0

2

2

51

56

7

1

0

0

4

13

35

53

8

0

1

0

1

12

28

42

9

1

1

2

5

6

28

43

10

0

0

0

2

7

22

31

11

1

0

0

1

4

8

14

12

1

1

2

1

0

10

15

13

0

0

0

1

1

2

4

14

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

15

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

16

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

17

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

18

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

19

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

20

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

total

5

3

4

21

65

666

764

(B) cylindrical (K = 20)

 

includes s assumed areas

 

length l of areas

0

1

 
 

29-

30-

31-

29-

30-

31-

 
 

t = 3

2

1

t = 3

2

1

total

1

0

0

0

5

18

*697

720

2

0

0

0

5

4

63

72

3

0

0

0

1

2

18

21

4

0

0

0

0

4

10

14

5

0

0

0

0

0

2

2

6

1

0

0

1

0

3

5

7

1

0

0

1

1

1

4

8

2

0

0

0

1

1

4

9

0

1

1

0

0

2

4

10

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

11

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

12

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

13

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

14

0

0

0

0

0

2

2

15

0

0

0

0

1

3

4

16

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

17

0

0

0

2

0

1

3

18

1

0

0

0

0

1

2

19

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

20

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

total

5

1

1

15

31

807

860